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What Happened in Damascus Today? Shooting Near Presidential Palace, Syrian State TV Stops Broadcasting

The situation in Syria is rapidly deteriorating, and reports point to a deep crisis within the government that could escalate into a major coup. Key events and their significance:

Key events:

  1. Syrian army retreats:

    • After a rapid rebel advance, the Syrian army is abandoning cities one by one. The city of Hama has almost surrendered, indicating the weakness and demoralization of the troops.
    • Videos of the army fleeing confirm serious problems with morale and command.
  2. Clashes in Damascus:

    • Shootings are taking place in the area of ​​the presidential palace, indicating an internal conflict between government forces.
    • The main confrontation is between elite units - the Republican Guard and the Fourth Division under the command of Maher al-Assad (the president's brother).
  3. Potential coup:

    • Interaction between various factions of the Syrian Arab Army in the capital and rumors of a military coup indicate a split in the ruling circles.
    • The shutdown of state television underlines the scale of the crisis and the possible loss of control of the central government power.
  4. Allied reactions:

    • An Iranian Mahan Airlines plane linked to the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps has left Homs for Tehran, which could indicate an evacuation or urgent consultations.
    • Bashar al-Assad is returning to Damascus from Moscow, demonstrating the need for immediate intervention in the situation.
  5. Geopolitical context:

    • Turkish journalist Raghib Soylu reported clashes in the Kafr Sousse area of ​​Damascus, confirming the chaotic situation in the capital.
    • Iran and Russia, as Syria's main allies, may reconsider their actions given the threat of losing control over the Assad regime.

Possible consequences:

  • For Bashar al-Assad: the deepening crisis in Damascus threatens his continued hold on power. If the Republican Guard defects to the rebels or remains neutral, Assad could lose the capital.
  • For Syria: If the coup succeeds or Damascus falls, a new phase of the civil war will begin, involving various factions, including rebels and remaining loyalists.
  • For the region: Assad’s weakening opens space for Turkey, Iran, and other regional players to step up their game, potentially leading to further destabilization.
  • For Russia: losing an ally in the Syrian regime would be a serious blow to its position in the Middle East, given its long-term investment in supporting Assad.

Events are moving fast, and the coming hours could be decisive for the future of Syria and its ruling regime.

We also posted General Hossam Luka's biography.

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1 December 2024

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